Apex marine predator declines ninety percent in association with changing oceanic climate

Three time series of pelagic bird abundance collected in disparate portions of the California Current reveal a 90% decline in Sooty Shearwater (Puffinus griseus) abundance between 1987 and 1994. This decline is negatively correlated with a concurrent rise in sea-surface temperatures; Sooty Shearwaters have declined while sea temperatures have risen. There is a nine-month lag in the response by shearwaters to changing temperatures. The geographical scale of our study demonstrates that the decline of Sooty Shearwaters is not a localized phenomenon, nor can it be ascribed to a short-term distributional shift. The Sooty Shearwater is the numerically dominant species of the California Current System (CCS) in summer (austral winter), with an estimated population in the late 1970s of 5 million individuals. If the observed warming of the waters of the California Current System is an irreversible manifestation of a changing global climate, then the impact upon Sooty Shearwater populations seems likely to be profound.     

ELISA absorbance cut-off method affects malaria sporozoite rate determination in wild Afrotropical Anopheles

ABSTRACT. Malaria sporozoite infection rates in a mixed species group of 244 Anopheles gambiae Giles sensu lato and 115 An. funestus Giles wild female mosquitoes were compared using three methods to determine cutoff absorbance values for positivity of a Plasmodium falciparum Welch enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Positive controls were based on P. falciparum circumsporozoite protein. As negative controls, four wild male Anopheles were included on each microtitre plate; tests were repeated on four consecutive days for each plate.
Infection rates were estimated at 13.1–22.8% using the mean absorbance value of negative controls plus three standard deviations, 11.7–12.8% using double the mean and 12.5–13.6% using the fixed cut-off value of 0.20 (allowing for 20% variation in negative control absorbance values).
Observed agreement for positivity or negativity among samples tested four times was 98.6% for the 2× mean method, 97.2% for the fixed cut-off 0.20 value, but only 82.7% for the mean +3 SD method. It was concluded that the 2× mean cut-off method is most reliable for field studies. P. falciparum sporozoite rates of 12.2% in An. funestus and 11.9% in An. gambiae s. l . were thus determined on the basis of the 2× mean cut-off method.
This comparative evaluation demonstrates that vector infectivity rates can be seriously over-estimated from sporozoite ELISA tests, by as much as 87% in one case considered here, depending on the absorbance cut-off method applied for negative controls.     

Community persistence in Broadstone Stream (U.K.) over three decades

1. Few detailed long-term data sets exist for fresh waters with which to examine large-scale temporal changes in community composition. Consequently, insight into community persistence has been restricted to a few, contingent case studies. We collated and analysed data for the aquatic macroinvertebrate community of Broadstone Stream in south-east England, spanning three decades. The pH of this naturally acid stream has risen progressively since the 1970s, and we sought to examine the potential effects of this environmental change upon the community.
2. Persistence within Broadstone was high when compared with other systems that have been analysed using similar methods. The stream was characterised by a `core' community of eight taxa that were always present, and contributed 75–97% of total invertebrate abundance, with a trailing limb of progressively rarer and more acid-sensitive taxa. There was little species turnover, although the time-series exceeded 20 generations for most species.
3. Despite this high persistence, a long-term response to rising pH was detected: species indicating profound acidity (identified a priori from independent studies) have declined since the 1970s, whereas indicators of moderate acidity increased. The structure of the community food web has also changed since the 1970s, with increased predator diversity and abundance, and a lengthening of food chains following the invasion of a new top predator.
4. These changes in the community appeared to be driven by an interaction between pH and climate. The unusually hot, dry summers characteristic of the 1990s may have raised pH during the more sensitive (i.e. early) stages of the life-cycle, and thus provided a window of opportunity for less acid-tolerant taxa to colonise and become established. Changes in pH appeared to set the boundaries of the available local species pool, within which biotic interactions ultimately shaped the community.